Recent Publications

This study analyzes the effects of US drone strikes on terrorism in Pakistan. We find that drone strikes are associated with decreases in the incidence and lethality of terrorist attacks, as well as decreases in selective targeting of tribal elders.
In ISQ, 2016.

Op-Eds

ISIS Could Rise Again: What Its Last Resurrection Says About Its Future in Iraq and Syria, Foreign Affairs, December 15, 2017 (with Benjamin Bahney).

Is the Philippines the Next Caliphate?, Foreign Policy, November 27, 2017 (with Colin P. Clarke).

Oil, Extortion Still Paying Off for ISIS, The Cipher Brief, October 27, 2017.

Can the Islamic State Survive Financially?, Lawfare, May 15, 2017 (with Colin P. Clarke).

Are Terrorists Using Cryptocurrencies?, Foreign Affairs, April 21, 2017 (with David Manheim, Josh Baron, and Cynthia Dion-Schwarz).

After the Battle for Mosul, Get Ready for the Islamic State to Go Underground, War on the Rocks, October 18, 2016 (with Patrick Ryan).

To Defeat ISIS, Focus on Its Real Sources of Strength, The National Interest, December 4, 2015 (with Benjamin Bahney and Howard J. Shatz).

[The Enemy You Know and the Ally You Don’t](), Foreign Policy, June 23, 2015 (with Benjamin Bahney and Patrick Ryan).

Who Runs the Islamic State? US News World Report, May 22, 2015 (with Benjamin Bahney).

Countering ISIL’s Financing. Testimony presented before the House Financial Services Committee on November 13, 2014.

Hit the Islamic State’s Pocketbook, Newsday, October 5, 2014. (with Benjamin Bahney)

Hitting ISIS Where It Hurts: Disrupt ISIS’ Cash Flow in Iraq, The New York Times, August 13, 2014. (with Benjamin Bahney)

Obama’s Iraq Dilemma: Where did ISIS come from, and can anything be done about it?, US News & World Report, June 17, 2014. (with Benjamin Bahney)

Partner Capacity in Counterinsurgency Campaigns, Research Brief, RAND Corporation, February 2014.

Ask the Experts: Do Targeted Killings Work?, Op-Ed, Council on Foreign Relations, September 24, 2012.

Drone Strikes Keep Pressure on al-Qaida, Op-Ed, Providence Journal, August 18, 2012. Reprinted on The RAND Blog, August 22, 2012

The Effectiveness of Leadership Decapitation in Combating Insurgencies, Policy Brief, Belfer Center for Science and International Affairs, June 2012.

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